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A negative oil price shock: It is common to blame some of the poor macroeconomic per- formance of the 1970s on the rise in oil prices. In the middle of the 1980s, however, oil prices declined sharply. Using the AS/AD framework, explain the macroeconomic consequences of a one-time negative shock to the in ation rate, as might occur because of a sharp decline in oil prices.

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A negative shock to oil prices will mean that now production becomes cheaper. This will cause the aggregate supply curve to shift rightwards and cause prices to fall and the output level to increase. The fall in prices will be short term however as over time the prices will adjust upwards to the point A which is the original market price.

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