The time in hours required to repair a machine is an exponential distributed random variable with the average repair time of 2 hours, what is the probability that the repair time takes between 2 to 4 hours

Answer :

Answer:

0.4968 = 49.68% probability that the repair time takes between 2 to 4 hours

Step-by-step explanation:

Exponential distribution:

The exponential probability distribution, with mean m, is described by the following equation:

[tex]f(x) = \mu e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

In which [tex]\mu = \frac{1}{m}[/tex] is the decay parameter.

The probability that x is lower or equal to a is given by:

[tex]P(X \leq x) = \int\limits^a_0 {f(x)} \, dx[/tex]

Which has the following solution:

[tex]P(X \leq x) = 1 - e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

The probability of finding a value higher than x is:

[tex]P(X > x) = 1 - P(X \leq x) = 1 - (1 - e^{-\mu x}) = e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

Average repair time of 2 hours

This means that [tex]m = 2, \mu = \frac{1}{2} = 0.5[/tex]

What is the probability that the repair time takes between 2 to 4 hours

More than 2:

[tex]P(X > 2) = e^{-0.5*2} = 0.3679[/tex]

Less than 4:

[tex]P(X \leq 4) = 1 - e^{0.05*4} = 0.8647[/tex]

Between two and four:

[tex]P(2 \leq x \leq 4) = 0.8647 - 0.3679 = 0.4968[/tex]

0.4968 = 49.68% probability that the repair time takes between 2 to 4 hours

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